الفهرس 
ARDL- ECMOnly 14 pages are availabe for public view
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Abstract
This study aims to integrate quantitative and judgmental methods to estimate and forecast the Egyptian tourism demand using quantitative and qualitative analyses and test the result of combining. (ARDL-ECM) was used to forecast the number of visitor arrival to Egypt from six source markets and the Delphi method as a judgmental method, In both quantitative and qualitative analyses, the accuracy, bias, and efficiency of statistical, judgmental, and expert forecasts were analyzed, a test of Hypotheses for the study was applied by comparing accuracy across Delphi rounds, source markets, expert groups, applying correlation and regression analyses. The results has improved when statistical forecasts were modified by experts Delphi.