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العنوان
تقييم أثر السياسة النقدية على التضخم فى مصرخلال الفترة 2000:2012م/
المؤلف
زيدان, صفاء محمد احمد.
هيئة الاعداد
مشرف / صفاء محمد احمد زيدان
مشرف / عبد النبي إسماعيل الطوخي
مناقش / عبد الهادى عبد القادر سويفى
مناقش / جمال ابراهيم البدوى
تاريخ النشر
2015.
عدد الصفحات
149 ص. :
اللغة
العربية
الدرجة
ماجستير
التخصص
الإقتصاد ، الإقتصاد والمالية (متفرقات)
الناشر
تاريخ الإجازة
28/6/2015
مكان الإجازة
جامعة أسيوط - كلية التجارة - الاقتصاد و الماليه العامه
الفهرس
يوجد فقط 14 صفحة متاحة للعرض العام

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المستخلص

This study aimed to analyze and evaluate the performance of monetary policy through using of some quantitative and qualitative tools, and measure the effect of that performance on the inflation rate in Egypt during the period from 2000 to 2012, with the aim of trying to solve the problem of inflation. In order to achieve this goal, the researcher reviewed some of the studies and theories that have relation to this subject. We need to study and analyze the relation ship between money supply, exchange rate, interest rate on loan, real GDP, and consumer prices index in the European Union, expressing imported inflation on one side and consumer prices index Egypt expressing the inflation rate in Egypt .The study applied both the descriptive and econometrics analysis, It also used Johansen co-integration test to reach the long-term relationship and uses both Granger test and vector error correction model to determine the short-term causal relationship. The study concluded that there is long-term integral relationship between the independent variables, and the consumer prices index in Egypt. It also concluded that their is significant positive relationship on the long-term found between consumer prices index in Egypt and money supply, but there is negative significant relationship on the long-run between consumer prices index in Egypt on one side and interest rate on lending, and real GDP on the other side. The study concluded that there is no significant relationship on the long-run between consumer prices index in European and Exchange rate , It also concluded that there is causal relationship in both directions between consumer prices index in Egypt and real GDP ,but there is a causal relationship in one side from money supply to consumer prices index in Egypt, and there is no causal relationship between consumer Prices index in Egypt on one side and consumer prices index in the European Union and the Exchange rate on the other side. Finally the study concluded that there is no significant effect for the economic variables shocks on the consumer prices index in Egypt, and vice versa. the study presented the fallowing recommendations 1)the monetary policy has to consider the important role of the economic anticipations and try to monitor it. 2)Relying on real GDP and money supply in order to control inflation rate in the short run.3)relying on Real GDP, Money supply and interest rate on lending to control inflation rate on the long run.